Ovum on Infinera's Intelligent Transport Network strategy
Infinera announced that TeliaSonera International Carrier (TSIC) is extending the use of its DTN-X to its European network, having already adopted the platform in the US. Infinera has also outlined the next evolution in its networking strategy, dubbed the Intelligent Transport Network.
Gazettabyte asked Dana Cooperson, vice president and practice leader, and Ron Kline, principal analyst, both in the network infrastructure group at market research firm, Ovum, about the announcement and Infinera's outlined strategy.
What has been announced
TSIC is adding Infinera's DTN-X to boost network capacity in Europe and accommodate its own growing IP traffic. TSIC already has deployed 100 Gig technology in its European network, using a Coriant product. The wholesale operator will sell 100 Gig services, activating capacity using the DTN-X's 'instant bandwidth' feature based on already-lit 100 Gig light paths that make up its 500 Gigabit super-channels.
Meanwhile, Infinera has detailed its Intelligent Transport Network strategy that extends its digital optical network that performs optical-electrical-optical (OEO) conversion using its 500 Gig photonic integrated circuits (PICs) coupled with OTN (Optical Transport Network) switching to include additional features. These include multi-layer switching – reconfigurable optical add/drop multiplexers (ROADMs) and MPLS (Multi-Protocol Label Switching) – and PICs with terabit capacity
Q&A with Dana Cooperson and Ron Kline
Q. What is significant about Infinera's Intelligent Transport Network strategy?
Dana C: Infinera is being more public about its longer-term strategy - to 2020 - which includes evolving from its digital optical network messaging to a network that includes multiple layers and types of switching, and more automation. Infinera is not announcing more functionality availability now.
Infinera makes much play about its 500 Gig super-channels. More recently it has detailed such platform features as instant bandwidth and Fast Shared Mesh Protection supported in hardware. Are these features giving operators something new and is Infinera gaining market share as a result?
Dana C: Instant Bandwidth provides a way for Infinera’s operator customers to have their cake and eat it. They can install 500 Gig super-channels ahead of demand, and not pay for each 100 Gig sub-channel until they have a need for that bandwidth. It is a simple process at that point to 'turn on' the next 100 Gig worth of bandwidth within the super-channel.
By installing all five 100 Gig channels at once, the operator can simplify operations - lower opex - and allow quicker time-to-revenue without having to take the capex hit until the bandwidth needs materialise. This is an improvement over the DTN platform, which gave customers the 10x10 Gig architecture to let them pre-position bandwidth before the need for it materialised and save on opex, but at the cost of higher up-front capex than was ideal.
Talking to TSIC confirm that this added flexibility the DTN-X provides has allowed them to win wholesale business from competitors while tying capex more directly to revenue.
Ron K: Although pay-as-you go capability is available, analysis of 100 Gig shipments to date indicate most customers are paying for all five up front.
Dana C: I have not directly talked with an Infinera customer that has confirmed the benefit of Fast Shared Mesh Protection, but the feature certainly seems to be of value to customers and prospects. Our research indicates the continued search for better, more efficient mesh protection. Hardware-enabled protection should provide better latency (higher speed).
Ron K: Resiliency and mesh protection are critical requirements if you want to participate in the market. Shared mesh assumes that you have idle protection capacity available in case there is a failure. That is expensive. However, with Infinera’s technology - the PIC and Instant Bandwidth - it is not as difficult.
Restoration is all about speed – how fast can you get the network back up. It is not always milliseconds, sometimes it is half a minute. But during catastrophic failure events such as an earthquake, where a user can loose entire nodes, 30 seconds may not be so bad. Infinera has implemented the switch in hardware, based on a pre-planned map, so it is quicker.
Dana C: As for what impact these capabilities are having on market share, Infinera has climbed to the No.3 player in 100 Gig DWDM in three quarters since the DTN-X has become available.
They’ve jumped back up to No.4 globally in backbone WDM/CPO-T (converged packet optical transport) after sinking to sixth when they were losing share because they were without a viable 40 Gig solution. They made the right call at that time to focus on 100 Gig systems based on the 500 Gig PIC rather than chase 40 Gig. They are both keeping and expanding with existing DTN customers, TSIC being one, and picking up new customers.
Ron K:They are definitely picking up share. However, I’m not sure if they can sustain it. The reason for the share jump is they are selling 100 Gig, five at a time. Remember, most customers elect to pay for all five. That means future sales will lag because customers have pre-positioned the bandwidth.
Looking at the customers is probably a better indicator: Infinera has some 27 customers, maybe 30 by now, which provide a good embedded base. Still, 27 customers is low compared to Ciena, Alcatel-Lucent, Huawei and even Cisco.
When Infinera first announced the DTN-X in 2011 it talked about how it would add MPLS support. Now outlining its Intelligent Transport Network strategy it has still to announce MPLS support. Do operators not need this network feature yet in such platforms and if not, why?
Dana C: The market is still sorting out exactly what is needed for sub-wavelength switching and where it is needed. Cisco’s and Juniper’s approaches are very different in the routing world —essentially, a lower-cost MPLS blade for the CRS versus a whole new box in the PTX; there is no right way there.
Within packet-aware optical products, the same is true: What is the right level of integration of OTN versus MPLS? It depends on where you are in the network, what that carrier’s service mix is, and how fast the mix is changing.
Many carriers are still struggling with their rigid organisational structures, and how best to manage products that are optical and packet in equal measure. So I don’t think Infinera is late, they are just reacting to their customers’ priorities and doing other things first.
Ron K: This is the $64,000 question: MPLS versus OTN. I’m not sure how it will eventually play out. I am asking service providers now.
OTN is a carrier protocol developed for carriers by carriers (the replacement for SONET/SDH). They will be the ones to use it because they have multi-service networks and need the transparency OTN provides. Google types and cable operators will not use OTN switching - they will lean towards the label-switched path (LSP) route. Even Tier-1 operators who have both types of networks will most likely maintain separation.
"The trick is to optimise around the requirements that net you the biggest total available market and which maximise your strengths and minimise your weaknesses. You can’t be all things to all carriers."
If Infinera has its digital optical network, why is it now also talking about ROADMs? And does having both benefit operators?
Dana C: Yes, having both benefits operators. From discussions with Infinera's customers, it is true that the digital nodes give them flexibility, but they do introduce added cost. For those nodes where customers have little need to add/ drop traffic, a ROADM would provide a more cost-efficient option to a node that performs OEO for all the traffic. So, with a ROADM option customers would have more control over node design.
Infinera talks about its next-gen PICs that will support a Terabit and more. After nearly a decade of making PICs, how does Ovum view the significance of the technology?
Dana C: While more vendors are doing photonic integration R&D, and some - Huawei comes to mind - have released some PIC-based products, no one has come close to Infinera in what it can do with photonic integration. Speaking with quite a few of Infinera’s customers, they are very happy with the technology, the system, and the support.
Each generation of PIC requires a significant R&D effort, but it does provide differentiation. Infinera has managed to stay focused and implement on time and on spec. I see them as the epitome of a “specialist” vendor. They are of similar size to Coriant and Tellabs, which have seen their fortunes wane, and ADVA Optical Networking. So I would say they are a very good example of what focus and differentiation can do.
Now, is the PIC the only way to approach system architecture? No. As noted before, some Infinera clients have told me that the lack of a ROADM has hurt them in competitive situations, as did the need to pay for all the pre-positioned bandwidth up front (true for the DTN, not the DTN-X).
From my days in product development, I know you have to optimise around a set of requirements, and the trick is to optimise around the requirements that net you the biggest total available market and which maximise your strengths and minimise your weaknesses. You can’t be all things to all carriers.
What is significant about the latest TeliaSonera network win and what does it mean for Coriant?
Dana C: Infinera is announcing an extension of its deployments at TSIC from North America to now include Europe as well. When you ask what this means to Coriant, their incumbent supplier in Europe, the answer is not clear cut. This gives Infinera an expanded hunting licence and it gives Coriant some cause for worry.
TSIC values both vendors and both will have their place in the European network. TSIC plans to use the vendors in different regions.
I am sure TSIC will try and play each off against the other to get the best price. It is looking for more flexibility and some healthy competition.
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